What is the ideal preparation for the challenges of July? Graeme Rodway thinks he has found the answer | Horse racing news
“title =” The Dante Project (Almost) Sursues Perfect Power House at Royal Ascot “class =” js-imageLoader “data-at-xn =” https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021 / 06 /17/94256-medium.jpeg “data-br-n =” https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021/06/17/94256-medium.jpeg “data-br- m = “https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021/06/17/94256-large.jpeg” data-br-w = “https://www.rp-assets.com/ images / news / 2021/06/17/94256-large.jpeg “data-br-xw =” https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021/06/17/94256-large.jpeg “onclick =” return false; “>
The Dante project (near) pursues the Perfect Power house at Royal Ascot
By Graeme Rodway and James Stevens
2.25 New market
Tattersalls July Stakes (Group 2) | 6f | 2 years | ITV3 / RTV
Since 2010, seven winners of that race had faced each other at Ascot in their last start, a stat that is expected to improve as this year’s market is dominated by royal reunion leavers. However, they competed in several different races on a range of trips, so what was the ideal preparation?
During the same 11-year period, horses that progressed in distance performed best. Six of the winners (out of 38 qualifiers, 16% strike rate) had competed in 5f races in their last outing and were profitable from blind backs (+1.75 £ to £ 1 level stakes).
Compare that to those who competed over 6f in their last start and the numbers are even better – five winners out of 52 runners (ten percent), producing a bet level loss of -8.15.
The Dante Project seems the best of those embarking on the journey. It ultimately caught the eye when a neck behind Perfect Power in Norfolk at Royal Ascot, a form that was cleared when the Go Bears Go finalist won the railroad at Curragh the next time around.
Edward Whitaker (racingpost.com/photos)
“title =” Project Dante (Graham Lee, yellow cap): won a novice 5f in York earlier this year “class =” js-imageLoader “data-at-xn =” https: //www.rp-assets. com / images / news / 2021/05/12/92491-medium.jpeg “data-br-n =” https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021/05/12/92491-medium .jpeg “data-br-m =” https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021/05/12/92491-large.jpeg “data-br-w =” https: // www .rp -assets.com/images/news/2021/05/12/92491-large.jpeg “data-br-xw =” https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021/05/ 12/92491-large.jpeg “onclick =” return false; “>
Project Dante (Graham Lee, yellow cap): Won a 5f novice in York earlier this year
Edward Whitaker (racingpost.com/photos)
Dig Two also deviates from the minimum course after finishing second at Windsor Castle. He won the race on his side of the track, but crossed the line in second behind Chipotle, who accelerated well against the other rail.
Jadhlaan missed Ascot but tackles similarly at an additional stage. He’s three-quarters length to find with Project Dante, who finished two spots ahead of him on his York debut.
So what about those who have already proven themselves in travel? Eldrickjones sets the standard with a racing score of 105 after his second place behind Berkshire Shadow in the Coventry Stakes. He had Ebro River (5th), Tolstoy (10th) and The Organizer (12th) behind him that day.
The Richard Hannon team have saddled five winners out of 11 riders in this race since 2010. Lusail followed a different program after having landed a novice event on 7f on this track only 19 days ago.
No horse since 2010 has managed to land a trip to earn this, but few have tried. The three who have only beaten an average of 29.44% of their home rivals.
Race Analysis by Graeme Rodway
“66-1 Ascot second was no surprise – it works great”
Coach Roger Fell believes he has a “great chance” of registering his first group race success as Eldrickjones looks to translate his impressive homework at Newmarket.
Cotai Glory’s son topped the odds 66-1 to finish second in the Coventry Stakes, but that didn’t shock Fell, who reports he continues to shine at his Yorkshire base.
Fell said: “This race didn’t surprise me, I thought he could have won given what I had seen him do at home. He had us all very excited to go to Ascot and we are excited again. If he plays like he did at Ascot, then he would have a great chance. “
“title =” Eldrickjones (white silks): second behind Berkshire Shadow at Royal Ascot “class =” js-imageLoader “data-at-xn =” https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021/ 06/15 // 94126-medium.jpeg “data-br-n =” https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021/06/15/94126-medium.jpeg “data-br- m = “https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021/06/15/94126-large.jpeg” data-br-w = “https://www.rp-assets.com/ images /news/2021/06/15/94126-large.jpeg “data-br-xw =” https://www.rp-assets.com/images/news/2021/06/15/94126-large.jpeg “onclick =” return false; “>
Eldrickjones (white silks): second behind Berkshire Shadow at Royal Ascot
He joked: “I had a Listed winner but no Group winner. If he wins, I guess I can retire.”
Bryan Smart, another Yorkshire-based trainer, also runs a placed horse of the Royal Reunion. Project Dante was a third to finish fast in Norfolk, so the step up to six stages should be fine.
“We’re really happy with him,” said Smart. “He was jumping and screaming that [Wednesday] morning, so we know he’s in good shape. He goes there with a chance even though it looks like a competitive race. “
Hugo Palmer, Dig Two and Ebro River coach
I think this is the right race for both horses. Dig Two was far from the bridle in Windsor Castle. The faster the ground the better for him, but if it gets really choppy we might consider waiting for Goodwood with Ebro River. The Coventry didn’t work for him so I think his run can be marked – he ran a great run with everything growing away from him.
Angus Gold, race director for Shadwell Stud, owner of Jadhlaan
It took a long time to break up his young daughter and Franny [Norton, jockey] thinking he had the speed to do well at five stages, I thought he would still want six stages. On the pedigree you would expect him to make the trip well and hopefully he can prove that he does.
Thady Gosden, Tolstoy co-trainer
He was stuck on the wing in Coventry at Royal Ascot last time around, so he couldn’t really get involved. He came out in great shape and should take advantage of the probably quick ground.
Report by James Stevens
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